Two years after the fall of Roe v Wade, it is no longer clear whether voters will show up for the singular issue

The United States on Tuesday will face its first major election of the Trump 2.0 era: a race for a single state supreme court seat in Wisconsin that could not only rewrite abortion access in the state, but test whether the issue of abortion rights can still drive voters to the polls.

On Tuesday, Wisconsin residents will decide whether to elect liberal Susan Crawford or conservative Brad Schimel, two county judges, to the state supreme court, which is poised to weigh in on two major abortion cases. Abortion rights advocates are trying to use the threat to the procedure to convince people to head to the polls, but, more than two years after the US supreme court overturned Roe v Wade, it is no longer clear whether abortion can tip an election. Democratic candidates talked about outrage over Roe constantly during the 2024 election – and fell short, losing both the White House and the Senate.

The push to end sexual violence has sparked a revenge campaign setting fire to women’s rights and pushing young men to the right. But organizers can learn from the movement’s losses

Dressed in his trademark sunglasses and a skintight black T-shirt, Andrew Tate strode into a Las Vegas arena like a returning king. He was there to watch Power Slap, a UFC offshoot where people slap each other in the face with such force that doctors say it could lead to brain damage and death.

Days earlier, Tate and his brother Tristan had been in Romania, their assets seized, awaiting trial on human trafficking charges. But following reported conversations between Romanian officials and the Trump administration, the Romanian government lifted a travel ban on the brothers. Now, as a heavily male crowd watched men slap one another so hard they collapsed, the UFC president, Dana White, warmly embraced the Tates. White, a Trump ally and Meta board member who was once caught on camera slapping his own wife, smiled at the Tates, looked them in the eyes, and told them: “Welcome to the States, boys.”